Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Western Athletic
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#162
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#183
Pace68.1#165
Improvement+3.1#57

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#162
Improvement+3.8#24

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#163
Improvement-0.8#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 12   @ BYU L 56-83 5%     0 - 1 -7.8 +8.5 +9.6
  Nov 20, 2010 128   @ UC Santa Barbara L 54-69 30%     0 - 2 -9.4 +2.3 +2.6
  Nov 26, 2010 48   Washington St. L 55-66 26%     0 - 3 -4.1 +2.8 +3.6
  Nov 30, 2010 137   @ Utah L 63-76 31%     0 - 4 -7.9 +1.9 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2010 72   @ Colorado St. L 74-87 17%     0 - 5 -2.8 +5.0 +4.7
  Dec 07, 2010 289   @ San Diego W 74-70 68%     1 - 5 -0.8 -2.3 -2.3
  Dec 11, 2010 220   Pepperdine W 64-51 73%     2 - 5 +6.7 -3.9 -1.9
  Dec 18, 2010 171   North Dakota St. W 82-69 64%     3 - 5 +9.4 -1.7 -1.3
  Dec 21, 2010 149   Pacific L 55-65 58%     3 - 6 -12.0 -1.4 -1.1
  Dec 29, 2010 172   San Jose St. W 75-62 64%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +9.4 -1.8 -1.2
  Jan 03, 2011 152   Nevada W 80-74 59%     5 - 6 2 - 0 +3.8 -0.8 -1.1
  Jan 06, 2011 246   @ Louisiana Tech W 63-56 57%     6 - 6 3 - 0 +5.4 -0.8 -0.4
  Jan 08, 2011 132   @ New Mexico St. L 68-80 31%     6 - 7 3 - 1 -6.6 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 15, 2011 21   Utah St. L 39-52 18%     6 - 8 3 - 2 -3.1 +4.2 +5.0
  Jan 17, 2011 143   Idaho L 57-67 56%     6 - 9 3 - 3 -11.5 -1.2 -0.9
  Jan 20, 2011 156   @ Hawaii L 52-62 36%     6 - 10 3 - 4 -6.2 +1.2 +2.2
  Jan 24, 2011 274   Seattle W 86-56 83%     7 - 10 +20.0 -4.4 -4.3
  Jan 27, 2011 152   @ Nevada L 76-79 35%     7 - 11 3 - 5 +1.2 +2.1 +2.0
  Jan 29, 2011 172   @ San Jose St. L 66-78 40%     7 - 12 3 - 6 -9.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 03, 2011 132   New Mexico St. W 88-83 OT 54%     8 - 12 4 - 6 +4.1 -0.2 -0.6
  Feb 05, 2011 246   Louisiana Tech W 72-64 78%     9 - 12 5 - 6 +0.0 -3.9 -3.7
  Feb 07, 2011 314   Cal St. Bakersfield W 79-49 89%     10 - 12 +16.5 -6.5 -5.6
  Feb 10, 2011 82   @ Boise St. L 61-75 20%     10 - 13 5 - 7 -5.1 +4.1 +4.1
  Feb 12, 2011 21   @ Utah St. L 55-71 7%     10 - 14 5 - 8 +0.3 +7.8 +7.6
  Feb 16, 2011 314   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-55 76%     11 - 14 +10.9 -3.4 -2.9
  Feb 19, 2011 257   UC Riverside W 68-49 80%     12 - 14 +10.1 -4.4 -3.6
  Feb 24, 2011 82   Boise St. L 56-70 41%     12 - 15 5 - 9 -11.4 +0.6 +1.3
  Mar 03, 2011 143   @ Idaho L 66-69 32%     12 - 16 5 - 10 +1.8 +2.5 +2.2
  Mar 05, 2011 156   Hawaii W 85-70 60%     13 - 16 6 - 10 +12.5 -1.0 -0.9
  Mar 09, 2011 152   Nevada L 80-90 47%     13 - 17 -9.0 +0.5 +0.1
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%